SMBs are going through a Transformation, moving from a building block IT adoption to Flat IT in a virtual era. And within this Transformation, PC is still important in its role as the center of IT universe. SMBs need only buy a PC to get started. However, the nature and use of PC as the foundational block has changed. There is and will most likely remain only one block. An SMB today can start work immediately with a server that resides in the cloud, use smart phone that provides access to corporate information anytime and anywhere, a CRM application that resides off-premises, a communications infrastructure that is cost effective, a line of business application that is plug-and-play. All enabled by a simple credit card payment system and a PC.
Global SMB spend on IT is expected to be US$426 billion in 2011. PCs and Servers spend, core businesses of Intel, will be US$80 billion, resulting in 120 million PCs (Desktops & Notebooks) and 3.8 million servers. Despite the slowdown SMB market is still a very healthy market that requires focus and attention. Based on surveys in numerous countries, Techaisle finds that “Refresh of PCs and Servers” is among SMB priorities.
It is more important now than ever for Intel to hit harder at an SMB strategy and messaging.
Recognize Growing Influence of Retail
Importance of retail is continuing to increase across many countries as PCs increasingly become commoditized. 65 million PCs, half of total SMB PC shipments, are purchased by
1-20 employee size businesses that usually shop at retail stores. There are 186,818 dealers/retailers globally who derive 58 percent of their revenue from selling PCs. The retail channel is continuing to grow in number, especially in emerging markets. On the other hand there are 242,010 VARs/SIs globally who are increasingly moving into cloud offerings as they find their traditional services model getting threatened. Intel should work with its OEM partners to offer business SKU PCs through retail stores. A few of Intel’s OEM partners such as Dell have begun selling business SKUs through retail stores albeit in some countries. As compared to retail, VAR/SI channel derives 36 percent of their revenues from selling PCs. This only enhances the importance and influence of retail within the SMB segment for PCs. Intel should also open up vPro sales through all channels including retail. Similar to the messaging of i3, i5, i7, “with vPro” and “without vPro” will a good value proposition for SMBs and create a differentiation between SMBs and Consumers. As vPro adoption grows, different types of channels including neighborhood repair shops will have the motivation to jump in to provide remote support and services.
Facilitate Managed Services Adoption
Global SMB remote PC managed services is estimated to be US$1.3 billion in 2011 and will nearly double to US$2.5 billion in 2015. With vPro, Intel has a huge untapped opportunity to target managed services market aggressively. The technology has been around for a while and has had some success within enterprises. Selling vPro-based PCs through the non-retail channel to SMBs is certainly useful but selling through retail and white-box manufacturers will only quicken its adoption. The scenario today is similar to what the PC industry saw twenty years ago. To accelerate the adoption of PCs, Intel built a white-box channel and started shipping motherboards to them. Concerns were raised that the move would cannibalize market for traditional large OEM vendors but over a period of time both
OEM and white-box channels have learnt to co-exist. In fact there are 69,412 system builders across the world. Intel should be able build a similar program for white box assemblers with a focus on managed services using vPro. Large format retail channels could create their own NOCs or partner with other MSPs to offer remote managed support services (Techaisle had written about this happening in 2009, BestBuy purchasing mindShift has now happened). For small format retailers Intel should either create its own datacenter or allow OEM vendors to provide NOCs for remote managed support. Smaller system builders could use the data centers offered by Intel, its distributors or other large vendors for providing managed services to their SMB customers.
A PC Refresh Messaging – Path to Ultrabooks
Ultrabooks is another potential opportunity for Intel to sell into the SMB segment. However, current price point will inhibit adoption forcing Ultrabooks to be used primarily in corner offices and a smattering of traveling executives. If the price-point does not fall below US$800 this new form factor will follow the swift end like the netbook form factor. Ultra-thin aficionados will continue to adopt MacBook Air series. Initial adoption of netbooks had exposed a burning desire among Small Businesses for a low cost, light weight device with an extended battery life. At the same time huge adoption of tablets by SMBs as an additional device strongly suggests a market ripe for ultrabooks. However, a differentiated PC refresh messaging with Ultrabooks as mainstream notebooks PC is needed in the SMB marketplace. Although some may argue that VDI will replace PCs faster than PCs themselves, however, larger adoption of VDI among SMBs although growing in double-digits still too far in the future.
Cloud – Intel’s Small Business AppUp, Boon or Bane?
Among all of the new priorities that SMBs are driving towards, perhaps the one that most impacts the channel and the vendors is the trend towards increasing adoption of SaaS and Cloud Computing. All leading IT vendors – Microsoft, Dell, and IBM are providing a variety of cloud based platform and application services. Complementing them is a whole host of new companies that are aggressively developing solutions for this space. No doubt over the next 5 years cloud based services will be the new arena of intense competition. In
2011, SMB cloud computing spend will be US$11 billion (excluding spend on cloud
communication services). As SMBs transition investments driven by these new priorities, the impact on the channel will likely be significant. The small business AppUp services rolled out by Intel is certainly noble as it makes available best-of-breed cloud enabling technologies available to channel partners that serve small businesses. And it is easy to see why many cloud enabling technology vendors such as StorageCraft, GFI and many others will add their applications to the catalog. It gives them another distribution outlet. But
their continued commitment remains to be seen. However, Intel cannot just remain a Master Distributor, because it will very soon begin competing with its traditional distributors. More importantly, Intel in its effort to provide cloud services to its channels and small businesses is missing out on a very key issue: best-of-breed applications. No doubt the applications being offered are some of the best in the industry but there are too many of the same category. For example, how many backup and recovery applications will Intel offer before it finds that they are creating more confusion than simplicity? Channels
and SMBs will be forced to once again conduct their own research to sign up and use applications. It should not be a race for numbers but a race for best-of-breed. While its OEM partners may like to be part of the strategy initially they will not benefit in the long run. Within the next 2-3 years Intel’s OEM partners will begin to draw and implement their own SMB cloud strategies, most likely leaving behind Intel’s small business AppUp services.
Transition from IT vs. Non-IT
With growing adoption of cloud computing the role of IT has also been changing. Business departments are making procurement decisions independent of IT, similar to BYOD. In fact, Intel should focus its attention on Mobility vs. Non-Mobility or Cloud vs. Non-Cloud and even VDI vs. Non-VDI businesses. In effect, the old segmentation models do not exist anymore as the work from anywhere, anytime culture gets more ingrained within SMBs. Segments should be defined and labeled based on their business objectives.
Finally
Creating an SMB brand distinction is more important now than ever - a brand that delivers empowering technologies to both SMBs and their channel partners and a set of products and solutions that enable an SMB reach its full potential in the shortest period of time. SMBs will continue to invest in on-premise IT infrastructure while experimenting with, or moving selective applications to the cloud and increasing their reliance on MSPs. As SMBs prefer to procure their IT products and services from same channels Intel should evaluate all of its partners’ expertise areas and create symbiotic partnerships among them with Intel as the broker to serve the SMB customers. At the same time Intel should recruit new retail channel partners to advise, train and thereby help its OEM partners.
Anurag Agrawal
Techaisle
Techaisle Blog
Cloud and Solutions have become front and center - solutions that are designed and imagined to directly address business issues such as productivity, automation, enhancing sales and marketing, reducing operational cost and many others.
Some may begin to call Dell the new IBM. However, unlike IBM, Dell is addressing entire sets of market segments – small businesses, mid-market businesses, enterprises, government, healthcare, consumers. Dell’s recent different acquisitions are playing a big part in its transformation. Most notable among them have been Boomi, SecureWorks, KACE, Compellent, InsightOne and Perot Systems. Dell may have fewer big case studies as of now compared to IBM but it will get there.
PCs, servers and general computing hardware are still relevant to Dell’s business and integral to its growing arsenal of solutions. PC is still relevant to businesses and consumers alike. Those who predict the PC is dead are not seeing the picture correctly. They are probably getting carried away by the current “wave” of tablet adoption. However, the nature and use of the PC as the foundational block has changed. An SMB today can start work immediately with a server that resides in the Cloud, use a smart phone that provides access to corporate information anytime and anywhere, a CRM application that resides off-premises, a communications infrastructure that is cost-effective, and a line of business application that is plug-and-play. At Dell World 2011, Dell demonstrated solutions in each area such as device management, unified communications, cloud business apps, collaboration, storage, datacenters, expense management and many others.
Traditionally, the IT industry gets caught up in terminology such as Cloud, Mobility, Managed Services, Big Data and so on. We had written that vendors have a real opportunity now more than ever to tweak their messaging to take on a series of statements that explain what the new IT can do for SMBs and enterprises in terms of functionality, operational cost, fixed cost, profitability, and how it benefits their business plan. Or even in more simple terms, messaging such as: how can a business use a PC to connect to
line of business applications faster, more securely, and from anywhere to help
them run their business better. We have begun to see this messaging from Dell.
Anurag Agrawal
Techaisle
Techaisle conducted a quantitative survey with over 8300 SMBs and spoke with ITDMs in US, UK, Germany, Australia, Brazil, Singapore, Malaysia and India to understand small
and medium business Cloud Computing market opportunity along with issues,
concerns, problems and challenges.
One of the questions that we asked to current non-users was: What vendor actions would compel you to use Cloud services?
Top reasons ranked in order of % of respondents for the US is given below.
There are obvious differences between SBs (1-99 employees) and MBs (100-999 employees).
There exists a strong correlation across all the points raised by SMBs. While most cloud computing vendors may like to pick up one or two issues and address them in their marketing messages but it may not have the most impact. Vendors like Dell that have embarked on the journey to help SMBs adopt cloud solutions have the most to gain by addressing all of the above issues.
Other large IT vendors may soon follow, but at least if Dell executes on its plan it may take the lead. The last time we spoke with Dell, they had already implemented most of the points and had developed a roadmap to roll out the remaining.
Needless to say, vendors should take specific actions to overcome SMB Cloud Computing adoption barriers.
Anurag Agrawal
Techaisle
Pilgrimage
Salesforce.com held its annual customer and partner pilgrimage last week called the Dreamforce 2011. This mega event had a whopping 45,000 registered attendees and at least 15,000 were present for the opening keynote by Marc Benioff. The much anticipated keynote was given by Marc Benioff who no doubt he is a master marketer. He
successfully drilled home the message of Social Enterprise and how Chatter fits
neatly into the vision of new type of collaboration, interaction and customer
acquisition.
In fact not only the keynote but the entire event had widespread case studies from large enterprises that were using Chatter as their hub for all internal conversation. Heavyweights from Coca Cola, Burberry, NBC Universal, Verizon and others were there to lend support and show how Salesforce.com was helping them transform their sales organizations. Even the billboard cut outs had quotes from CEOs of prominent enterprises touting the benefitsof Chatter on multiple devices such as iPads, Tablets and mobile phones.
Key Announcements
The event was very significant in more ways than one. On the one hand it had four key announcements while on the other it did not talk a lot about SMBs. But contrary to popular sentiments many of the announcements may actually be very relevant for SMBs.
Four Key Announcements were:
- Chatter: ability to create and maintain a private social network for business and soon to be available (Chatter Now, Chatter Customer Groups, Chatter Connect, Chatter Inline Filters, Chatter Approvals)
- Data.com: ability to create targeted lists from 30+ million business leads from Jigsaw as well as 200+ million in-depth company profiles from D&B and connect them into the CRM process
- Database.com: a database for the business built and used in the cloud
- Touch.salesforce.com: built in HTML5 with the capability of rendering any app built on Force.com platform to any mobile device without modification
SMB Suitability?
While all of the above technologies are great for Enterprises some are better suited for SMBs than others, especially for the less than 100 employees’ businesses. Last year Salesforce.com had revenues of $1.6 Billion with over 100,000 customers (Salesforce.com Annual Report). This suggests an average of $16,000 per customer and much fewer than 100 users per customer. And this leads us to believe that most of Salesforce.com’s customers are upper-mid-market businesses. The above announcements fall firmly within the realm and sweet spot of the 100-999 employee size businesses.
Chatter as an SMB Collaborative Platform
As per Techaisle’s continuous Global SMB research, a small business (1-99) has an average of 8 employees in the US and 20 percent, that is, 1.2 employees per small business are on the Cloud. With this low number of employees will Chatter be a viable option for small businesses? These small businesses are already overburdened and hamstrung with using Facebook, Twitter and other external facing social networking channels? The answer is yes with some modifications. Recent Techaisle study shows that 81 percent of SMBs are adopting mobility solutions, 66 percent of small business employees and 48 percent of mid-market employees either work from home or travel for work at least once a week. For these employees and business owners collaboration is a top of mind issue. To that extent Chatter is a great collaboration tool. Chatter makes the work from anywhere and anytime easier for SMBs. It makes it all the more important for mid-market businesses to adopt Chatter as they have an average of 125 employees per business and 30 percent of them are on cloud.
Database.com & Data.com
This is where the divergence begins. Are database.com and data.com relevant for SMBs? Yes, but the pricing and unpredictable monthly expenditure may limit SMBs’ use and deployment. Database.com is being offered free for up to 3 standard users, 3 admin users, 100,000 records and 50,000 transactions per month. Both a B2C SMB and B2B SMB will have more than 100,000 records but necessarily not 50,000 transactions. It also depends upon the size and vertical of the business. Therefore, it will take time for proper used cases to accumulate before SMBs and their channel partners can begin to recommend such a
solution.
Data.com is quite a powerful tool priced at $99 per user per month. This allows up to 300 records per month to be imported with additional records at $0.50 per record. This is quite an attractive pricing for SMBs. However, it would be up to their channel partners to show them the value along with some price comparisons. Most SMBs may require more than 300 records per month while others may require less depending upon their coverage areas. More mid-market businesses would be able to use it rather than small businesses.
Jigsaw (genesis behind data.com) suffers from its crowd sourcing practice [in that it is populated by people in exchange of credits to see other people] - often data is not up to date and the proportion of businesses contacts tend to be of large enterprises, so not a lot for SMBs to get records and lists of neighborhood businesses, non-profits and other organizations. This may create a dilemma for an SMB paying customer if they cannot find relevant contacts.
Next Steps for Salesforce.com's SMB Strategy
As the adoption of salesforce.com continues within large enterprises it begins to look like ERP implementations of yesteryears. The cost to switch is tremendous. With a great messaging from Salesforce.com enterprises are willing and able to deepen their relationship with Salesforce.com.
Techaisle’s Cloud Computing research and market sizing shows that Cloud CRM spend by small businesses (1-99 employees) in the US alone is expected to be US$679 million in 2012. While Salesforce.com seems to have done well in the midmarket (100-999 employees) segment, 6 million small businesses (1-99 employees) in the US alone represent a huge opportunity.
Salesforce.com derives over two-thirds of its revenues from the US even though US accounts for just one-fourth of the world’s GDP and even other large tech companies derive a much greater share of their revenues from overseas than Salesforce.com. Techaisle's research shows a significant increase in awareness of and willingness to adopt SaaS solutions in several countries both among SMBs and Enterprises. In fact only 35 percent of SMB Cloud CRM spends in 2012 is expected to come from the US.
Salesforce.com has yet to show its commitment and plan for a global SMB reach.
Salesfore.com has grown rapidly and the guidance for this year is also for continuation of that trend. However, the market conditions will begin to change with the the dramatic increase in awareness as well as potential supply of SaaS providers especially targeting the SMBs. Techaisle’s global research also finds that SMBs in selected markets also show a significant willingness to adopt various other SaaS solutions. Given the SMBs’ proclivity to purchase multiple solutions from a single provider, Salesforce.com should plan to broaden its offerings beyond CRM and also allow for easy and efficient integration with its
CRM offerings.
Salesforce.com has been a pioneer in the PaaS space with its Force.com offering. The platform is being used primarily by enterprises or channel partners (e.g. ISVs, VARs and systems integrators). To continue its reach within the SMB segments Salesforce.com has to develop a stronger channel ecosystem which could contribute to growth in its subscription base.
Anurag Agrawal
Techaisle
